β Serie B 2021 Β· Sun, Aug 22, 06:30 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
| Alessandria win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento β0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Alessandria β0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | β½ | Simone Corazza Β· Alessandria |
| 14' | π¨ | Simone Benedetti Β· Alessandria |
| 23' | β½ (pen) | Roberto Insigne Β· Benevento |
| 33' | π¨ | Abou Ba Β· Alessandria |
| 34' | π¨ | Riccardo Improta Β· Benevento |
| 40' | β½ | Simone Corazza Β· Alessandria |
| 45' | β½ (og) | Luca Parodi Β· Benevento |
| 48' | β½ | Daam Foulon Β· Benevento |
| 55' | β½ | Riccardo Improta Β· Benevento |
| 71' | π¨ | Salvatore Elia Β· Benevento |
| 83' | β½ (pen) |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | β |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| 88' | π¨ | Gennaro Acampora Β· Benevento |
| 90' | π¨ | Luca Parodi Β· Alessandria |
| 90' | π¨ | Edoardo Pierozzi Β· Alessandria |
| coach days | 82.00 | 233.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | β |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | β |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | β |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | β |
| elo | 1551.38 | 1500.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.76 | β |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | β |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | β |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | β |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | β |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | β |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | β |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | β |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | β |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | β |
| matches since win | 10.00 | β |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | β |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | β |
| rest days | 30.00 | β |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | β |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | β |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | β |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | β |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | β |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | β |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | β |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | β |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | β |