β Serie B 2021 Β· Sun, Aug 22, 06:30 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Doveri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 51% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Como 1907 win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 β0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Crotone β0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | π¨ | Santiago Visentin Β· Crotone |
| 13' | π¨ | Dario Toninelli Β· Como 1907 |
| 30' | π¨ | Filippo Scaglia Β· Como 1907 |
| 38' | π¨ | Ismail H'Maidat Β· Como 1907 |
| 49' | β½ | Samuele Mulattieri Β· Crotone |
| 53' | β½ | Alessio Iovine Β· Como 1907 |
| 57' | π¨ | MiloΕ‘ VuliΔ Β· Crotone |
| 66' | β½ | Samuele Mulattieri Β· Crotone |
| 78' | π¨ | Salvatore Molina Β· Crotone |
| 79' | β½ (pen) | Ettore Gliozzi Β· Como 1907 |
| 88' | π¨ | Ettore Gliozzi Β· Como 1907 |
| 90' | π¨ | Davide Mondonico Β· Crotone |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 174.00 | 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | β |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | β |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | β |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | β |
| elo | 1513.73 | 1325.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.30 | 13.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | β |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | β |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | β |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | β |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | β |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | β |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | β |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | β |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | β |
| squad age | 27.41 | β |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | β |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | β |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | β |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |