β Serie B 2021 Β· Sat, Aug 21, 04:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Perugia win | 30% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia β0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pordenone β0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | π¨ | Cristian Dell'Orco Β· Perugia |
| 26' | π¨ | Aleandro Rosi Β· Perugia |
| 45' | β½ | Jacopo Murano Β· Perugia |
| 52' | π¨ | Simone Santoro Β· Perugia |
| 54' | π¨ | Gianvito Misuraca Β· Pordenone |
| 68' | π¨ | Mirko Carretta Β· Perugia |
| 73' | π¨ | Marcello Falzerano Β· Perugia |
| 81' | π¨ | Christian Kouan Β· Perugia |
| 86' | π¨ | Christian Kouan Β· Perugia |
| 86' | π₯ | Christian Kouan Β· Perugia |
| 90' | π¨ | Andrea Bianchimano Β· Perugia |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 8 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 1283.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 0.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1438.00 | 1416.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.42 | -2.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 25.41 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |