← Süper Lig 2022 · Tue, May 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Erdoğan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Kayserispor win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.41 |
| Under | 32% | 3.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟥 | Yaw Ackah · Kayserispor |
| 16' | ⚽ | Kerim Frei · Karagumruk |
| 28' | ⚽ | Kerim Frei · Karagumruk |
| 57' | 🟨 | Andrea Bertolacci · Karagumruk |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Drešević · Karagumruk |
| 82' | 🟨 | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
| 86' | 🟨 | Bernard Mensah · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu |
| coach days | 29.00 | 363.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1579.31 | 1537.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.34 | -32.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.62 |
| league points | 48.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 30.10 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |