← Süper Lig 2022 · Mon, Apr 10, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 64% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.94 |
| Karagumruk win | 16% | 6.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Fenerbahce +1.25 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Magomed Ozdoev · Karagumruk |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ferdi Kadıoğlu · Fenerbahce |
| 50' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Karagumruk |
| 51' | ⚽ | Miha Zajc · Fenerbahce |
| 78' | ⚽ | Attila Szalai · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 313.00 | 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1593.85 | 1758.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.08 | -11.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| league points | 37.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 26.77 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |