← Süper Lig 2022 · Mon, Apr 3, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 43% | 2.26 |
| İstanbulspor win | 31% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Karagumruk +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 30' | 🟨 | Emir Kaan Gültekin · İstanbulspor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Karagumruk |
| 50' | 🟨 | Florian Loshaj · İstanbulspor |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jason Lokilo · İstanbulspor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Emeka Eze · İstanbulspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ali Yaşar · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟥 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 184.00 | 306.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1455.38 | 1585.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.78 | 18.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 16.06 | 15.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.17 | 27.32 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |