← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Mar 19, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Kalkavan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.42 |
| Alanyaspor win | 18% | 5.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor +1 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Fenerbahce +1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.58 |
| Under | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Efthymios Koulouris · Alanyaspor |
| 19' | 🟨 | Bright Osayi-Samuel · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Furkan Bayır · Alanyaspor |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 82' | 🟨 | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yusuf Özdemir · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Emre Mor · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Kırbıyık Holding Stadyumu |
| coach days | 46.00 | 291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1540.33 | 1771.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.96 | 2.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| league points | 33.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 7.23 | 2.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 2.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | 1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.82 | 25.35 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |