← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Mar 12, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 43% | 2.32 |
| Alanyaspor win | 30% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Ankaragücü −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Yusuf Özdemir · Alanyaspor |
| 9' | 🟨 | Milson · Ankaragücü |
| 18' | ⚽ | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 40' | 🟨 | Emre Kılınç · Ankaragücü |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ahmed Hassan · Alanyaspor |
| 76' | ⚽ | Milson · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 11.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1439.97 | 1557.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.14 | -18.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.62 |
| league points | 23.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.77 | 8.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.20 | 28.00 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |