← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Mar 5, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 |
| Ankaragücü win | 18% | 5.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Besiktas −1 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Salih Uçan · Besiktas |
| 53' | ⚽ | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 55' | ⚽ | Vincent Aboubakar · Besiktas |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nihad Mujakić · Ankaragücü |
| 85' | 🟨 | Arthur Masuaku · Besiktas |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Welinton · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 155.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1658.03 | 1443.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.46 | -28.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| league points | 46.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 29.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 26.73 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |