← Süper Lig 2022 · Sat, Mar 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.21 |
| Ümraniyespor win | 13% | 7.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor −1.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Ümraniyespor −1.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Alexandru Epureanu · Ümraniyespor |
| 51' | ⚽ | Jesse Sekidika · Ümraniyespor |
| 65' | ⚽ | Umut Nayir · Ümraniyespor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Oğuz Gürbulak · Ümraniyespor |
| 83' | ⚽ | Yusuf Yazıcı · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Naci Ünüvar · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Naci Ünüvar · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Naci Ünüvar · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Ümraniyespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Orkun Ozdemir · Ümraniyespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Ümraniyespor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.66 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Şenol Güneş Spor Kompleksi |
| coach days | 3.00 | 884.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 9.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.61 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1647.63 | 1451.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.01 | 21.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 43.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 8.71 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 0.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.40 | 28.99 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |