← Süper Lig 2022 · Sat, Mar 4, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Sivasspor win | 29% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Jordy Caicedo · Sivasspor |
| 34' | 🟨 | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 40' | 🟨 | Dimitris Goutas · Sivasspor |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 53' | ⚽ | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 69' | ⚽ | Magomed Ozdoev · Karagumruk |
| 73' | 🟨 | Andrea Bertolacci · Karagumruk |
| 80' | ⚽ | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Leke James · Sivasspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Leke James |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 20 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 276.00 | 1372.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1579.77 | 1572.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.98 | 23.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 28.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 28.00 | 27.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 31.11 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -1.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |