← Süper Lig 2022 · Tue, Jan 31, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 |
| Karagumruk win | 24% | 4.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Cenk Tosun · Besiktas |
| 49' | ⚽ | Magomed Ozdoev · Karagumruk |
| 63' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gedson Fernandes · Besiktas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 244.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1565.50 | 1676.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.47 | 47.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 24.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 9.17 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 28.02 |
| state index | -0.04 | 1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |