← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Jan 15, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Filiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Gaziantep win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Fenerbahce +0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Emre Mor · Fenerbahce |
| 8' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| 19' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 47' | 🟨 | Papy Djilobodji · Gaziantep |
| 55' | ⚽ | Stelios Kitsiou · Gaziantep |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ángelo Sagal · Gaziantep |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ángelo Sagal · Gaziantep |
| 70' | 🟥 | Ángelo Sagal · Gaziantep |
| 73' | 🟨 | Attila Szalai · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marko Jevtović · Gaziantep |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Gaziantep Stadyumu |
| 90' | ⚽ | Enner Valencia · Fenerbahce |
| coach days | 624.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1508.75 | 1747.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.80 | -58.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.75 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 21.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.73 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |