← Süper Lig 2022 · Tue, Jan 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Göçek
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ümraniyespor win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| Hatayspor win | 26% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ümraniyespor −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 30' | 🟨 | Oğuz Gürbulak · Ümraniyespor |
| 39' | ⚽ | Durel Avounou · Ümraniyespor |
| 53' | ⚽ | Saba Lobjanidze · Hatayspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Simon Falette · Hatayspor |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Umut Nayir · Ümraniyespor |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ognjen Vranješ · Hatayspor |
| 78' | 🟥 | Allyson Aires Dos Santos · Ümraniyespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serkan Göksu · Ümraniyespor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Ümraniyespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 824.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1447.31 | 1488.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.02 | 12.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.55 | 29.03 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |