← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Nov 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Güzenge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Hatayspor win | 30% | 3.19 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| İstanbulspor −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Kaan Kanak · Hatayspor |
| 23' | 🟨 | Eduart Rroca · İstanbulspor |
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 69' | 🟨 | Onur Ergün · Hatayspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Michael Ologo · İstanbulspor |
| 79' | 🟨 | Rayane Aabid · Hatayspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Patrick Ebert · İstanbulspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mehdi Boudjemaa · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 43.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1416.39 | 1484.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.24 | -8.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| league points | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 5.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.62 | 0.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 29.79 |
| state index | -1.24 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |