← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Nov 13, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Filiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Gaziantep win | 29% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Gaziantep −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Gaziantep |
| 20' | ⚽ | João Figueiredo · Gaziantep |
| 25' | 🟨 | Marko Jevtović · Gaziantep |
| 32' | ⚽ | Rayyan Baniya · Karagumruk |
| 46' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Gaziantep |
| 52' | ⚽ | Rayyan Baniya · Karagumruk |
| 62' | 🟨 | Alexander Merkel · Gaziantep |
| 63' | 🟨 | Salih Dursun · Karagumruk |
| 65' | ⚽ | Alexander Merkel · Gaziantep |
| 69' | ⚽ | Jean Evrard Kouassi · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 165.00 | 561.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1533.99 | 1508.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.81 | -4.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 29.68 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |