← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Oct 30, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Y. Uğurlu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.63 |
| Hatayspor win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Ankaragücü −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Giorgi Beridze · Ankaragücü |
| 58' | 🟨 | Nihad Mujakić · Ankaragücü |
| 61' | ⚽ | Taylan Antalyalı · Ankaragücü |
| 69' | ⚽ | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tolga Ciğerci · Ankaragücü |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lamine Diack · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ankaragücü | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Eryaman Stadyumu |
| coach days | 90.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1427.22 | 1493.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.98 | 5.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 5.77 | 5.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.13 | 29.41 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |