← Süper Lig 2022 · Mon, Oct 24, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Sağlam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Hatayspor win | 19% | 5.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas +0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Hatayspor +0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Wout Weghorst · Besiktas |
| 28' | 🟨 | Mehdi Boudjemaa · Hatayspor |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ognjen Vranješ · Hatayspor |
| 50' | ⚽ | Zé Luís · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Onur Ergün · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nathan Redmond · Besiktas |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kaan Kanak · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Yeni Hatay Stadyumu |
| coach days | 53.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1480.40 | 1634.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.95 | -3.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| league points | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 9.23 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.81 | 25.63 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |