← Süper Lig 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Güzenge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Ümraniyespor win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Ümraniyespor +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Umut Nayir · Ümraniyespor |
| 8' | ⚽ | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 12' | 🟨 | Magomed Ozdoev · Karagumruk |
| 27' | 🟨 | Anwan Lawrence · Karagumruk |
| 55' | ⚽ | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 76' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 751.00 | 143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1446.63 | 1563.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.44 | 4.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.33 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.22 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.80 | 29.88 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |