← Süper Lig 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: V. Bayarslan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| Hatayspor win | 26% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Jimmy Durmaz · Karagumruk |
| 21' | 🟨 | Burak Öksüz · Hatayspor |
| 36' | ⚽ | Steven Caulker · Karagumruk |
| 38' | 🟨 | Anwan Lawrence · Karagumruk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 81' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 81' | 🟨 | Onur Ergün · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 136.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1551.80 | 1492.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.10 | 0.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 5.77 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.54 | 28.34 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |