← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Oct 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Bitigen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Hatayspor win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Alanyaspor +0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Mehdi Boudjemaa · Hatayspor |
| 72' | ⚽ | Burak Öksüz · Hatayspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Alanyaspor |
| 88' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Yeni Hatay Stadyumu |
| coach days | 38.00 | 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1480.93 | 1581.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.90 | -25.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 41.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.56 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | 1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.56 | 26.91 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |