← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Oct 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Şeker
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ümraniyespor win | 40% | 2.50 |
| Kayserispor win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Ümraniyespor −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
| 44' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Ümraniyespor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Umut Nayir · Ümraniyespor |
| 59' | ⚽ | Tomislav Glumac · Ümraniyespor |
| 62' | 🟨 | Oğuz Gürbulak · Ümraniyespor |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Bernard Mensah · Kayserispor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Valentin Gheorghe · Ümraniyespor |
| 90' | 🟥 | Tomislav Glumac · Ümraniyespor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ümraniyespor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 738.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.79 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1445.74 | 1536.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.72 | 33.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.18 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.13 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.69 | 29.03 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |