← Süper Lig 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Y. Kol
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 39% | 2.50 |
| İstanbulspor win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| İstanbulspor +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Muammer Sarıkaya · İstanbulspor |
| 16' | ⚽ | Emre Kılınç · Ankaragücü |
| 29' | 🟨 | Valon Ethemi · İstanbulspor |
| 55' | ⚽ | Valon Ethemi · İstanbulspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Pepê · Ankaragücü |
| 87' | 🟨 | Yasin Güreler · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | İstanbulspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu |
| coach days | 7.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1454.99 | 1416.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.92 | -6.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.43 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| league points | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 4.77 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.14 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 28.47 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |