← Süper Lig 2022 · Mon, Oct 3, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Şansalan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| İstanbulspor win | 22% | 4.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor −0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Karagumruk −0.75 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Emir Kaan Gültekin · İstanbulspor |
| 69' | ⚽ | Eduart Rroca · İstanbulspor |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jetmir Topalli · İstanbulspor |
| 84' | 🟨 | Emiliano Viviano · Karagumruk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 89' | 🟨 | Eduart Rroca · İstanbulspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 124.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1570.01 | 1440.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.71 | 5.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 58.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 15.13 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.75 | 26.23 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |