← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Oct 2, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: E. Özdamar
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 49% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Hatayspor win | 24% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Hatayspor −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 20' | ⚽ | Bertuğ Yıldırım · Hatayspor |
| 23' | ⚽ | Erdoğan Yeşilyurt · Sivasspor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Rúben Ribeiro · Hatayspor |
| 42' | 🟨 | Rúben Ribeiro · Hatayspor |
| 42' | 🟥 | Rúben Ribeiro · Hatayspor |
| 51' | 🟨 | Mustapha Yatabaré · Sivasspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kaan Kanak · Hatayspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Erce Kardeşler · Hatayspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ognjen Vranješ · Hatayspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 29 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu |
| coach days | 1219.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1517.54 | 1467.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.39 | -30.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.20 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 87.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 13.77 | 15.77 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 30.44 | 28.67 |
| state index | -0.18 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |