← Süper Lig 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Ü. Öztürk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 47% | 2.03 |
| Kayserispor win | 27% | 3.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Trabzonspor +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Olivier Kemen · Kayserispor |
| 14' | 🟨 | Mahmoud Trézéguet · Trabzonspor |
| 24' | ⚽ | Mario Gavranović · Kayserispor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Mario Gavranović · Kayserispor |
| 77' | 🟨 | Onur Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Anastasios Bakasetas · Trabzonspor |
| 83' | ⚽ | Umut Bozok · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitris Kolovetsios · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maximiliano Gómez · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eren Elmalı · Trabzonspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Kadir Has Şehir Stadı |
| coach days | 122.00 | 699.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1544.79 | 1682.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.73 | -24.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.56 |
| league points | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 64.20 |
| rest days | 14.88 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | 1.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 28.29 | 28.76 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |