← Süper Lig 2022 · Fri, Sep 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Ç. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Kayserispor win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Hatayspor −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Bernard Mensah · Kayserispor |
| 44' | ⚽ | Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor |
| 75' | 🟨 | Bilal Bayazit · Kayserispor |
| 87' | ⚽ | Andrea Bertolacci · Kayserispor |
| 89' | 🟥 | Simon Falette · Hatayspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Mario Gavranović · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Yeni Hatay Stadyumu |
| coach days | 15.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1487.87 | 1524.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.47 | 8.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.29 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.54 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.90 | 28.21 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.45 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |