← Süper Lig 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Ç. Altay
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 45% | 2.19 |
| Ankaragücü win | 28% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Ankaragücü −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Salih Dursun · Karagumruk |
| 9' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pepê · Ankaragücü |
| 48' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 53' | ⚽ (og) | Rayyan Baniya · Ankaragücü |
| 61' | 🟨 | Oğuz Ceylan · Ankaragücü |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sinan Osmanoğlu · Ankaragücü |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Otabek Shukurov · Karagumruk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ahmed Musa · Karagumruk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 87.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1552.31 | 1431.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.79 | -21.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 13.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.40 | 27.50 |
| state index | -0.32 | -1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |