← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Aug 21, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kardeşler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Karagumruk win | 21% | 4.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Besiktas −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Magomed Ozdoev · Karagumruk |
| 17' | ⚽ | Wout Weghorst · Besiktas |
| 34' | ⚽ | Georges-Kévin N'Koudou · Besiktas |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jackson Muleka · Besiktas |
| 42' | 🟨 | Berkay Vardar · Besiktas |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 50' | ⚽ | Jackson Muleka · Besiktas |
| 53' | ⚽ | Mbaye Diagne · Karagumruk |
| 67' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Besiktas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Caner Erkin · Karagumruk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Valentin Rosier |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vodafone Park |
| coach days | 173.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1621.77 | 1564.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.25 | -3.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 14.10 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.52 | 28.47 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |