← Süper Lig 2022 · Sat, Aug 20, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Gaziantep win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Hatayspor +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | João Figueiredo · Gaziantep |
| 31' | ⚽ | Ayoub El Kaabi · Hatayspor |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep |
| 49' | ⚽ | Marko Jevtović · Gaziantep |
| 51' | 🟨 | Lazar Marković · Gaziantep |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ognjen Vranješ · Hatayspor |
| 59' | 🟨 | Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi · Hatayspor |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marko Jevtović · Gaziantep |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hatayspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Yeni Hatay Stadyumu |
| coach days | 80.00 | 476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1517.13 | 1514.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.76 | 7.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.93 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 29.74 | 28.65 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |