← Süper Lig 2022 · Sun, Aug 7, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Z. Küçük
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karagumruk win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Alanyaspor win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Karagumruk −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Furkan Bayır · Alanyaspor |
| 19' | ⚽ | Wilson Eduardo · Alanyaspor |
| 28' | ⚽ | Efkan Bekiroğlu · Alanyaspor |
| 36' | 🟨 | Otabek Shukurov · Karagumruk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Candeias · Alanyaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 55' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Karagumruk |
| 70' | ⚽ | Wilson Eduardo · Alanyaspor |
| 72' | ⚽ | Davide Biraschi · Karagumruk |
| 76' | 🟨 | Tayfur Bingöl · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karagumruk | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı |
| coach days | 67.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 4.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1580.41 | 1609.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.33 | 47.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 10.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 20.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 1.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 28.90 | 29.23 |
| state index | 0.59 | 1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |