← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Waregem win | 31% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Waregem −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Karol Fila · Waregem |
| 28' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 35' | 🟨 | Konan N'Dri · AS Eupen |
| 39' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 45' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 46' | ⚽ | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Karol Fila · Waregem |
| 79' | ⚽ | Ruud Vormer · Waregem |
| 81' | 🟨 | Oleksandr Filin · AS Eupen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadion am Kehrweg |
| coach days | 135.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1448.05 | 1385.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.41 | -29.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.30 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| league points | 35.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.22 | 26.54 |
| state index | -0.73 | -1.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |