← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Fri, Apr 14, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| Charleroi win | 25% | 3.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Standard −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Noah Ohio · Standard |
| 50' | 🟨 | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 64' | 🟨 | Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh · Charleroi |
| 74' | 🟨 | Steven Alzate · Standard |
| 77' | 🟨 | Renaud Emond · Standard |
| 82' | ⚽ | Marlon Fossey · Standard |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ken Nkuba · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Renaud Emond · Standard |
| 90' | 🟥 | Renaud Emond · Standard |
| 90' | ⚽ | Renaud Emond · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 317.00 | 164.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1592.27 | 1559.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.21 | 8.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 46.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| league points | 55.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 5.09 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 25.71 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |