← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Apr 9, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Standard win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Standard +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Philip Zinckernagel · Standard |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ángelo Preciado · Genk |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Philip Zinckernagel · Standard |
| 71' | 🟨 | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 86' | 🟨 | Cihan Çanak · Standard |
| 87' | 🟨 | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 89' | 🟨 | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Merveille Bokadi · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 312.00 | 343.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 9.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1572.42 | 1748.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.48 | -10.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 52.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 24.84 |
| state index | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |