← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Apr 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 |
| Westerlo win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Westerlo −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Islam Slimani · Anderlecht |
| 37' | 🟨 | Yusuke Matsuo · Westerlo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nene Dorgeles · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sinan Bolat · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 129.00 | 647.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1676.82 | 1555.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 59.93 | 14.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| league points | 50.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.46 | 26.88 |
| state index | 1.26 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |