← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Apr 8, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 37% | 2.61 |
| St. Gilloise win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| St. Gilloise +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Lazare Amani · St. Gilloise |
| 77' | 🟨 | Yorbe Vertessen · St. Gilloise |
| 80' | 🟨 | Senne Lynen · St. Gilloise |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Hugo Cuypers · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Ghelamco Arena |
| coach days | 858.00 | 311.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.71 | 3.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1703.10 | 1792.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.30 | 38.37 |
| eye test v1 | 1.16 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| league points | 61.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 6.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 25.74 |
| state index | 1.49 | 1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |