β Jupiler Pro League 2022 Β· Sat, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 42% | 2.26 |
| AS Eupen win | 31% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen β0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Kortrijk β0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | π¨ | Nayel Mehssatou Β· Kortrijk |
| 54' | π¨ | Tsuyoshi Watanabe Β· Kortrijk |
| 71' | π¨ | Stef Peeters Β· AS Eupen |
| 81' | π¨ | Kristof D'Haene Β· Kortrijk |
| 86' | π¨ | Rune Paeshuyse Β· AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 158.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1457.01 | 1446.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.09 | -11.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 46.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 36.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 24.88 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |