← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Oostende win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Standard +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Noah Ohio · Standard |
| 11' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Oostende |
| 11' | ⚽ | Noah Ohio · Standard |
| 19' | ⚽ | Marlon Fossey · Standard |
| 40' | ⚽ | Kelvin Arase · Oostende |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sieben Dewaele · Oostende |
| 59' | 🟥 | Osaze Urhoghide · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Théo Ndicka Matam · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cihan Çanak · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 151.00 | 304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1445.59 | 1559.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.12 | -7.94 |
| eye test v1 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| league points | 27.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 14.06 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.13 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.58 | 26.32 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.48 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |