← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Apr 1, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Charleroi win | 29% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Charleroi −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Mathias Fixelles · Westerlo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Valentine Ozornwafor · Charleroi |
| 35' | ⚽ | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Charleroi |
| 39' | ⚽ | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 51' | 🟨 | Stefan Knežević · Charleroi |
| 68' | 🟨 | Stelios Andreou · Charleroi |
| 77' | 🟨 | Edisson Jordanov · Westerlo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Youssouph Badji · Charleroi |
| 86' | 🟨 | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Charleroi |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Tuur Dierckx · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| 90' | ⚽ | Youssouph Badji · Charleroi |
| coach days | 639.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1568.05 | 1542.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.52 | 10.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| league points | 51.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.16 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.00 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 24.74 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |