← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Mar 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.20 |
| Mechelen win | 13% | 8.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Mechelen −1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Julien Ngoy · Mechelen |
| 10' | ⚽ | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jordi Vanlerberghe · Mechelen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 87' | 🟨 | Iebe Swers · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 291.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1786.37 | 1521.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.21 | 9.56 |
| eye test v1 | 1.09 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 70.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 25.90 |
| state index | 0.92 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |