← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Mar 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 |
| Waregem win | 18% | 5.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Standard −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.58 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Novatus Miroshi · Waregem |
| 14' | ⚽ | Marlon Fossey · Standard |
| 39' | ⚽ | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 76' | ⚽ | Alieu Fadera · Waregem |
| 79' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Laifis · Standard |
| 85' | ⚽ | Alioune Ndour · Waregem |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nicolas Rommens · Waregem |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marlon Fossey · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Renaud Emond · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 290.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.30 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1565.65 | 1389.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.80 | -24.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| league points | 48.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.30 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 28.12 |
| state index | 0.23 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |