← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Mar 18, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 62% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
| Seraing United win | 14% | 7.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| St Truiden −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · St Truiden |
| 56' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · St Truiden |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mory Konate · St Truiden |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marvin Tshibuabua · Seraing United |
| 78' | 🟨 | Vagner Dias · Seraing United |
| 83' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · St Truiden |
| 88' | ⚽ | Marius Mouandilmadji · Seraing United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 625.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| elo | 1541.48 | 1374.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.68 | -32.79 |
| eye test v1 | -1.18 | -1.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 39.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.21 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| squad age | 27.85 | 25.77 |
| state index | -0.76 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |