← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Fri, Mar 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Club Brugge win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Club Brugge +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.64 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Ayase Ueda · Club Brugge |
| 54' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 73' | 🟨 | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 77' | 🟨 | Abu Francis · Club Brugge |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jesper Daland · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 5 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 197.00 | 320.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 3.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1631.77 | 1743.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.17 | -31.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.60 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 89.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 5.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 2.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.65 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 23.16 | 25.01 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.57 | 0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |