← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Mar 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Waregem win | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Waregem +0.25 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Alieu Fadera · Waregem |
| 37' | ⚽ | Julien De Sart · Gent |
| 41' | ⚽ | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 52' | ⚽ | Timothy Derijck · Waregem |
| 53' | ⚽ | Gift Orban · Gent |
| 63' | 🟨 | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 65' | ⚽ | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 68' | ⚽ | Gift Orban · Gent |
| 75' | ⚽ | Gift Orban · Gent |
| 83' | ⚽ | Gift Orban · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 11.00 | 831.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1398.67 | 1660.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.12 | -10.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| league points | 24.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.95 | 26.64 |
| state index | -1.06 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |