← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
| St Truiden win | 28% | 3.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| St Truiden −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitri Lavalėe · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Taichi Hara · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianni Bruno · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 161.00 | 618.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 0.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1512.43 | 1550.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.24 | -23.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| league points | 34.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.37 | 28.17 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |