← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Mar 5, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Denil
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 75% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 17% | 6.31 |
| AS Eupen win | 8% | 12.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen −1.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| St. Gilloise −1.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.58 |
| Under | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Simon Adingra · St. Gilloise |
| 32' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 52' | 🟨 | Regan Charles-Cook · AS Eupen |
| 52' | ⚽ | Yorbe Vertessen · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Smail Prevljak · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 277.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1751.29 | 1461.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.83 | 16.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 64.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 7.94 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 24.61 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |