← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Mar 5, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 49% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 |
| St Truiden win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| St Truiden +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · St Truiden |
| 23' | ⚽ | Mbwana Samatta · Genk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mory Konate · St Truiden |
| 58' | 🟨 | Jorge Teixeira · St Truiden |
| 62' | ⚽ | Mbwana Samatta · Genk |
| 65' | 🟨 | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 77' | ⚽ | Gianni Bruno · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robert Bauer · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 612.00 | 308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1546.73 | 1759.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.20 | -13.32 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 38.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.76 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 2.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.34 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 24.68 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |