← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sat, Feb 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
| Seraing United win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Mechelen +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 52' | 🟨 | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 55' | ⚽ | Alessio Da Cruz · Mechelen |
| 61' | 🟨 | Moustapha Mbow · Seraing United |
| 87' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cachbach · Seraing United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 147.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1396.60 | 1507.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.74 | -13.10 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.81 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |