← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Feb 5, 06:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 69% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.43 |
| Waregem win | 12% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −1.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| St. Gilloise −1.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Cameron Puertas · St. Gilloise |
| 47' | 🟨 | Karol Fila · Waregem |
| 55' | ⚽ | Victor Okoh Boniface · St. Gilloise |
| 79' | ⚽ | Gustaf Nilsson · St. Gilloise |
| 89' | ⚽ | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 249.00 | 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1799.12 | 1419.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.33 | 5.81 |
| eye test v1 | 1.29 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.63 |
| league points | 59.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.94 | 7.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.27 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 28.00 |
| state index | 1.31 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |