← Jupiler Pro League 2022 · Sun, Feb 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 37% | 3.00 |
| Mechelen win | 35% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Charleroi +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 27' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 40' | 🟥 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 66' | ⚽ | Adem Zorgane · Charleroi |
| 67' | ⚽ | Adem Zorgane · Charleroi |
| 83' | 🟨 | Adem Zorgane · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joris Kayembe · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 127.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1513.67 | 1523.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.84 | 24.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 29.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.45 | 25.38 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |